Mesoscale Convective Systems Simulated by a High-Resolution Global Nonhydrostatic Model over the United States and China
编号:183 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2022-07-04 11:00:50 浏览:292次 口头报告

报告开始:2022年07月28日 09:55(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S2] 中小尺度气象与高影响天气 [S2-2] 议题2中小尺度气象与高影响天气28日上午

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摘要
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) contribute a large fraction of warm-season precipitation and generate hazardous weather with substantial socio-economic impacts. Uncertainties in convection parameterizations in climate models limit our understanding of MCS characteristics and reliability of future projection. We examine MCSs simulated by the global 14-km Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM) without cumulus parameterization against satellite observation from Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) during 2001-2008. We focus on MCSs over the central U.S. and eastern China where MCSs are prevalent from March to August. A process-oriented tracking method incorporating both cloud and precipitation criteria is used to identify and track MCSs. About 140/100 MCSs initiate in the central U.S./eastern China per warm season and most of them initiate east of high mountains and in coastal regions. The frequency distribution of MCS lifetime is well captured by NICAM. However, the simulated MCSs have stronger precipitation, smaller precipitation area, and larger cold cloud system than observed in both regions, which may be caused by weak entrainment as it is not well resolved at 14 km resolution. The simulated MCS number is also underestimated in summer. By examining the climatological and MCS large-scale environments, the significant underestimation of MCS number in summer over the central U.S. may be attributed to the large climatological dry bias in the atmosphere. For China, mean moisture in summer is well simulated but deficiency in capturing the dynamic condition related to the coastal topography for triggering convection may have contributed to underestimation of MCS even in a sufficiently moist environment.
关键词
MCS, climate model, cloud-resolving
报告人
那莹
北京市气候中心

稿件作者
那莹 北京市气候中心
FuQiang University of Washington
LeungL. Ruby Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
KodamaChihiro Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
陆日宇 中国科学院大气物理研究所
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    07月27日

    2022

    07月28日

    2022

  • 06月30日 2022

    初稿截稿日期

  • 07月19日 2022

    注册截止日期

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