The role of Arctic sea ice loss in the interdecadal trends of the East Asian summer monsoon in a warming climate
            
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                                    更新:2024-04-10 19:57:50                浏览:1296次
                张贴报告
            
            
            
                摘要
                The East Asian summer monsoon precipitation has exhibited a well-known “southern China flood and northern China drought” pattern in recent decades. The increase in aerosols and warming oceans are recognized as two important forcings that control of the precipitation trends over East Asian land. However, in this study, by using large ensemble simulations from the CMIP6 Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP), the influence of Arctic amplification, serving as the prominent feature of global warming, is very important in modulating the East Asian summer precipitation pattern, which is comparable to the influence of sea surface temperature (SST). Additionally, the observed “southern China flood and northern China drought” pattern only exists in July and August, whereas a triple pattern with the precipitation positive anomaly center over Middle China occurs in June. These patterns are closely connected with the regional differences in Arctic sea ice loss from June to July, affected through both the Rossby waves propagating in a weaker westerly jet and the decrease in the large-scale meridional thermal contrast in a warming climate.
             
            
                关键词
                PAMIP,East Asian summer monsson,sea ice
             
            
            
                    稿件作者
                    
                        
                                    
                                        
                                                                            
                                    何编
                                    中国科学院大气物理研究所
                                
                                    
                                                                                                                        
                                    张晓祺
                                    南京信息工程大学
                                
                                             
                          
    
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