The role of Arctic sea ice loss in the interdecadal trends of the East Asian summer monsoon in a warming climate
编号:412
访问权限:仅限参会人
更新:2024-04-10 19:57:50 浏览:327次
张贴报告
摘要
The East Asian summer monsoon precipitation has exhibited a well-known “southern China flood and northern China drought” pattern in recent decades. The increase in aerosols and warming oceans are recognized as two important forcings that control of the precipitation trends over East Asian land. However, in this study, by using large ensemble simulations from the CMIP6 Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP), the influence of Arctic amplification, serving as the prominent feature of global warming, is very important in modulating the East Asian summer precipitation pattern, which is comparable to the influence of sea surface temperature (SST). Additionally, the observed “southern China flood and northern China drought” pattern only exists in July and August, whereas a triple pattern with the precipitation positive anomaly center over Middle China occurs in June. These patterns are closely connected with the regional differences in Arctic sea ice loss from June to July, affected through both the Rossby waves propagating in a weaker westerly jet and the decrease in the large-scale meridional thermal contrast in a warming climate.
关键词
PAMIP,East Asian summer monsson,sea ice
稿件作者
何编
中国科学院大气物理研究所
张晓祺
南京信息工程大学
发表评论