AMO Modulation of Interdecadal Background of Persistent Heavy Rainfall in Summer over the Huaihe River Basin
编号:1421 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-10-14 16:53:27 浏览:38次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月16日 09:45(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S20] Session 20-Decadal Climate Variability: Key Processes of Air-Sea Interaction, Mechanisms and Predictability [S20-2] Decadal Climate Variability: Key Processes of Air-Sea Interaction, Mechanisms and Predictability

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摘要
This study used observed rainfall, ERA5 reanalysis, and CMIP6 model datasets to investigate the interdecadal variation and underlying mechanism of persistent heavy rainfall (PHR) over the Huaihe River Basin (HRB) in China during July–August, and to examine the role of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) in modulating such rainfall. The results indicate that PHR over the HRB exhibited a marked interdecadal variation. The interdecadal increase in PHR was found attributable primarily to interdecadal enhancement of ascending motion, which might have been due to external forcing by the AMO. The AMO can trigger upper-tropospheric mid–high-latitude Rossby wave trains that can lead to an upper-tropospheric anticyclone and a lower-tropospheric cyclone configuration over the HRB. Increased warm advection and greater transport of water vapor from lower latitudes, caused by enhanced southerlies in the middle–lower troposphere over the HRB, can also lead to enhanced ascending motion over the HRB. Meanwhile, an anomalous cyclone over northeastern China triggered by AMO can transport cold air from higher latitudes to the HRB, boosting convection and promoting the development and duration of PHR. By affecting sea surface temperature in the western North Pacific Ocean, the AMO can also indirectly cause a meridional teleconnection pattern in the lower troposphere, which increases the transport of water vapor to the HRB. Numerical model experiments can reproduce both the interdecadal variations in PHR and the mechanisms of the influence of the AMO on PHR, providing a reliable foundation for understanding and forecasting PHR over the HRB.
关键词
Persistent heavy rainfall,Huaihe River,AMO,Interdecadal variation
报告人
Jingwen Yu
Master Fudan University

稿件作者
Jingwen Yu Fudan University
Qingquan Li National Climate Center
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月14日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 12月14日 2024

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
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