The role of Arctic sea ice loss in the interdecadal trends of the East Asian summer monsoon in a warming climate
编号:647 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-10-12 20:10:49 浏览:44次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月15日 15:35(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S4] Session 4-Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Observations and Modeling [S4-3] Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Observations and Modeling

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摘要
The East Asian summer monsoon precipitation has exhibited a well-known “southern China flood and northern China drought” pattern in recent decades. The increase in aerosols and warming oceans are recognized as two important forcings that control of the precipitation trends over East Asian land. However, in this study, by using large ensemble simulations from the CMIP6 Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP), the influence of Arctic amplification, serving as the prominent feature of global warming, is very important in modulating the East Asian summer precipitation pattern, which is comparable to the influence of sea surface temperature (SST). Additionally, the observed “southern China flood and northern China drought” pattern only exists in July and August, whereas a triple pattern with the precipitation positive anomaly center over Middle China occurs in June. These patterns are closely connected with the regional differences in Arctic sea ice loss from June to July, affected through both the Rossby waves propagating in a weaker westerly jet and the decrease in the large-scale meridional thermal contrast in a warming climate.
 
关键词
East Asian summer monsoon, Arctic sea ice, global warming
报告人
Bian He
Professor Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

稿件作者
Bian He Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月14日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 12月14日 2024

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
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