Applications of Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations to Target Observation of Tropical Cyclones
            
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                更新:2025-03-27 23:04:03
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                摘要
                To augment the routine observational network for better forecasts of high-impact weather events, targeting observations (TOs) have developed rapidly during the past several decades worldwidely. In special, tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts have benefitted a lot from these field campaigns. In this talk, research work and field campaigns of TOs are briefly overviewed. Then a method named the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP), which is utilized to identify the areas deserving additionally observed with priority in TOs, is introduced. Using some examples, we explain how to numerically use the CNOP method and demonstrate its impacts on TC forecasts and its latest application in real time operational forecasts. We hope the information will be useful and inspiring for the listeners.
             
            
                关键词
                CNOP,target observation,tropical cyclone
             
            
            
                    稿件作者
                    
                        
                                    
                                        
                                                                            
                                    秦晓昊
                                    中国科学院大气物理研究所
                                
                                    
                                                                                                                        
                                    MuMu
                                    Fudan University
                                
                                    
                                                                                                                        
                                    周菲凡
                                    中国科学院大气物理研究所
                                
                                    
                                                                                                                        
                                    陈博宇
                                    国家气象中心
                                
                                    
                                                                                                                        
                                    杰冯
                                    复旦大学大气与海洋科学系
                                
                                             
                          
    
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