Hourly extreme rainfall over recent decades across Aotearoa New Zealand
编号:16 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-10-30 09:45:20 浏览:21次 口头报告

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摘要

Theory suggests that high-intensity, short-duration rainfall events should become more intense under enhanced greenhouse warming with an increasing tendency somewhat higher than 7% per degree Celsius. Here we present the production and analysis of a dataset of hourly rainfall records from 56 locations across Aotearoa New Zealand covering the 1986-2024 period, as well as from 17 locations covering the 1965-2024 period. We compare variability and trends across the locations in the highest and fifth-highest annual values, for one-hour and multi-hour durations. We finish with an assessment of the contributions to the variability and trends using 2800 years of 12km resolution detection and attribution simulations.

关键词
detection and attribution,extreme rainfall,hourly precipitation
报告人
Dáithí Stone
Climate scientist Earth Sciences New Zealand

稿件作者
Dáithí Stone Earth Sciences New Zealand
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    11月20日

    2025

    11月24日

    2025

  • 11月10日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 11月24日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
太平洋科学协会
承办单位
Shantou University
Xiamen University
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