Responses of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes in China to Overshoot and Stabilized Warming Scenarios
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更新:2025-10-30 16:20:25 浏览:3次
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摘要
Focusing on the dynamical downscaling simulations under the 1.5°C overshoot (1.5o), 1.5°C stabilized (1.5s) and 2.0°C stabilized (2.0s) warming scenarios, this paper estimated the temperature extremes, precipitation extremes and compound extremes over eight subregions of China. Compared with the reference period (1985-2014), the changes were characterized by a decrease in cold extremes, an increase in warm extremes and precipitation extremes, and the increase under the 2.0°C scenario was more significant than under 1.5°C scenarios. For subregions, Central China will have a striking risk of warm extremes and related compound extremes. The risk of precipitation extremes was the largest in Southern China, especially under 1.5s. There would be a remarkable risk of high temperature in Northwest China, while its drought risk will be remarkably alleviated under future warming scenarios.
关键词
temperature and precipitation extremes; compound extremes; Overshoot and Stabilized Warming Scenarios
稿件作者
Zhang Mi
Nanjing university
Shuyu Wang
Nanjing University
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